Some brand spanking new polling data is delivering some super bad news for Democrats who were hoping they would be able to retain control of the Senate after the 2024 general election. Internal polling was leaked from the National Republican Senatorial Committee, also known as the NRSC, which shows that several key races in battleground states are now leaning toward the GOP candidates, which gives the conservative party a path to victory and reclaiming control of both chambers of Congress. If former President Donald Trump pulls off a win against Vice President Kamala Harris, that means conservatives will have the White House, the Supreme Court, and Congress.
All of that combined together should provide us an opportunity to really get this country back on track with the policies of Trump’s America first agenda. Pray, people. Pray.
Check out more information from Trending Politics News:
The memo obtained by POLITICO from October 13, and penned by NRSC strategist Jason Thielman, presents an overview of recent polling in major Senate races across the country. The results are encouraging for Republicans, showing competitive races in traditionally Democratic strongholds and giving their candidates a significant edge in states like Montana, Ohio, and Wisconsin. In Montana, the polling data shows Republican Tim Sheehy pulling comfortably ahead of Democrat incumbent Jon Tester by eight points, with a 50% to 42% lead. Sheehy’s favorability has surged, with a net increase of 11 points since July. In contrast, Tester’s approval rating has slipped underwater, with 48% of voters viewing him unfavorably. Tester, a long-time Democratic stalwart, now faces dwindling opportunities to reshape his image, with only 1% of voters unaware of him and just 5% holding no opinion.
Ohio’s Senate race also indicates trouble for Democrats, with Republican Bernie Moreno holding a slim 2-point lead over Democrat incumbent Sherrod Brown. Moreno’s rise comes alongside strong support for Donald Trump in the state, where Trump leads Kamala Harris by 11 points in the presidential race. Brown, once considered a Democratic powerhouse, now finds his favorability slipping, with 47% of Ohio voters holding an unfavorable view of him despite his record-high spending of over $25 million in this race. Republicans are seeing another close contest in Wisconsin, where Republican candidate Eric Hovde has taken a 48% to 47% lead over Democrat incumbent Tammy Baldwin. While Hovde’s lead is narrow, it’s the first time he has edged ahead in internal polling. Baldwin’s approval ratings have taken a hit, with her favorability at 45%. As Hovde gains traction, the GOP is optimistic about flipping this crucial seat in November.
In another important battleground state, Pennsylvania, GOP candidate David McCormick is really sticking it to the Democratic Party incumbent, Bob Casey, with the latest data showing that he is barely hanging on to the lead at 44 percent to 43 percent. Third party candidates are siphoning off 4 percent of the vote as of this writing. Casey’s negative ratings continue to increase, which has opened up possibilities for McCormick to score a win, especially among undecided voters.
A Senate race in Nevada between GOP candidate Sam Brown and incumbent Jacky Rosen isn’t really going well at the moment. However, while Brown is behind Rosen by five percentage points, his favorability has gone up with 49 percent of voters having a positive view of him, which is a significant increase from 35 percent in July.
“The Arizona Senate race continues to be a nail-biter, with Republican Kari Lake trailing Democrat Ruben Gallego by four points. Gallego leads 49% to 45%, but with Trump holding a positive approval rating in the state, Lake’s camp remains hopeful. Trump currently holds a 49% to 47% lead over Harris in Arizona, and Lake is banking on his popularity to boost her chances in the Senate race,” TPN reported. “Michigan’s Senate race is shaping up to be one of the tightest contests this cycle. Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat incumbent Elissa Slotkin are locked in a dead heat, with each candidate garnering 48% of the vote in a head-to-head matchup. The race is similarly tight in a multi-candidate scenario, with Slotkin holding a razor-thin 49% to 48% lead. With only 3% of voters still undecided, both campaigns are ramping up their efforts to sway the final few votes in their favor.”
Again, let’s hope Republicans win big in November so we can repair the damage the Biden-Harris administration has done to our great nation.